Wednesday, January 2, 2013

12,000,000 Years Online




My normal morning routine is to listen to an hour or so of news while getting ready for work.  This morning, I couldn't help but notice how many of the stories were tech stories: Avis buys ZipCar (an online car sharing service), Google Maps putting Apple Maps to shame, a new iPhone is coming out.  But, then I heard a story on NPR that reported that Americans spent a combined 12,000,000 years online this year.   At one level, when you do the math of 300+ million people in this country, that isn't all that stunning; however, I can't help but be... well, stunned. 

Who could have imagined, even a few short years ago that we'd be spending that much time online.  And certainly, in 2013 we'll spend more.  I'm sure we'll be spending it creating wonderful new ideas, designing our future and collaborating. 

And then, NPR said we spent 1/6 of that time on Facebook.

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Monday, December 17, 2012

On merging with tech



Russ Pearlman, our newest partner at Thought Ensemble, begged to differ with part of a blog I wrote last week about Ray Kurzweil's new book.  In part, this is what Russ said:

"I think you are right about the "download" part, but I'm not entirely sure about the "merging" part.

For example, I've become dependent on my iPhone to take care of my schedule - so I just "forget" anything that is on my calendar. I just let my brain not have to worry about it. Yes, you can call that dependence, but even more so, I'm actively choosing not to remember things because I know my iPhone does it for me.

But, I think this is just a very small example of what can happen in the future, potentially - especially because I think technology may be able to interact with my thoughts – so I don't have to push a button and tell Siri to remember something for me, I can just think about a reminder, and the future Siri will just know what to do. Farfetched? Maybe - but 20 years of technology advancement may lead to some incredible things."

I think Russ makes a good point about how tech is changing our minds--and what they can be freed up to do now that our computers are taking over more of the mundane tasks that used to occupy our brains.  And, I wouldn't challenge the idea that we'll be able to "think" to our computers in the future . . . in fact, that already exists in some limited fashion.  My real objection to Kurzweil's theory is that he uses aggressive language like "merge" to give the reader a certain feeling, a certain vision: that we'll combine with our technology into some kind of single entity.  Half human half tech.  That is, of course, a potential future.  There have been tons of science fiction novels with a similar premise (including my own half baked novel), but it isn't the only potential future.  Probably not even the most likely.

I think Kurzweil would do well to take a bit more care with his language.  It might help him with his predictions too.